Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 105.479788 122.373285 142.681548 169.389196 204.378363 249.875364 315.741430
2024-10-06 85.874697 107.020077 135.573275 178.852724 246.776855 357.944027 578.650391
2024-10-13 69.082253 89.562820 119.118211 168.000182 254.636765 423.547310 871.297965
2024-10-20 62.251200 83.777178 116.907970 176.823012 298.286347 592.538852 1811.998481
2024-10-27 54.604538 75.123423 107.953588 170.761500 310.148519 707.872919 3265.227350
2024-11-03 52.672206 74.785828 112.228137 190.270873 391.068167 1169.831575 21060.084399
2024-11-10 52.926240 77.900357 123.084332 227.838569 558.197894 2758.741179 NaN
2024-11-17 48.819213 72.902178 117.674082 226.324415 603.286448 4091.778966 NaN
2024-11-24 44.810394 67.559172 110.625496 218.452604 619.081554 5537.635445 NaN
2024-12-01 42.220616 64.458408 107.580922 220.208645 681.439315 10056.688183 NaN
2024-12-08 40.278742 62.309597 106.134456 225.993441 775.491411 27190.648681 NaN
2024-12-15 38.193624 59.661280 103.184915 226.480911 845.918863 104212.637794 NaN
2024-12-22 35.187496 55.497161 97.461575 220.682024 903.997812 NaN NaN
2024-12-29 33.419592 53.611216 96.767798 232.131709 1147.382112 NaN NaN
2025-01-05 30.402796 48.930057 88.788360 215.445116 1108.574196 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 29.187254 47.705633 88.814233 228.089346 1456.261144 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 27.175549 44.633240 83.773567 219.165925 1511.721419 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 26.847503 44.987532 87.382856 247.845615 2519.716782 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 27.195271 46.810694 95.338933 304.879107 7002.917328 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 25.824948 44.709310 92.013290 302.532504 8994.368773 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 24.362076 42.271939 87.354158 290.408293 9676.101516 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 23.376777 40.824636 85.363160 293.103783 14284.530919 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 22.605660 39.791222 84.425320 302.019415 27709.897289 NaN NaN